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Housekeeping – the Banks

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  • RMB starting to appreciate post strong trade balance.
  • Chinese Banks leading the A share market higher on divergently positive volumes.
  • Property results in May implying risks more than manageable
  • Trust finance risks dissapating
  • Trade strength and EU stimulous implying outlook improving for largest and riskiest portion of NPLs (manufacturing)
  • Further rumours of a broader RRR cut over the weekend.
  • Options traders starting to open positions on the Chinese Banks betting on a significant rally with call strikes 10% higher than current prices trading at 4.3 points more than equivalent puts. This divergence is the highest level in 3 years in many cases.

BUY Agricultural Bank (1288 HK)
BUY BOC (3988 HK)
BUY ICBC (1398 HK)


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